Strong La Niña Portends Warm and Dry Winter for Florida

December 2021 FloridAgriculture E-Newsletter

For nearly a year now, weather forecasts have predicted Florida and much of the southeast to experience a more than normal warm and dry winter.  The latest ENSO Discussion (linked below) discusses there is a 90% chance of continuing conditions from now through March.  A strong La Niña for Florida in the winter/spring is warmer and dryer than average.  Thankfully, the Floridan Aquifer and Lake Okeechobee are currently at reasonable levels.  Close water management is required to insure an adequate water supply for permitted users through a dry spring.

The La Niña signal drops to 50% for March – May.  However, those months are typically dry for Florida.

The latest ENSO Discussion is now available at:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/index.shtml